World demand to rise 4.4% annually through 2016
Global
demand for commercial refrigeration equipment is forecast to rise 4.4
percent per year through 2016 to $32.0 billion, an acceleration from the
2006- 2011 pace. Demand will benefit from strong growth in a number of
the world’s larger developing nations, particularly in Asia. China and
India will continue to be the fastest growing national markets for
commercial refrigeration equipment. The US market, which suffered during
the 2007-2009 recession, will recover and post substantially stronger
growth in demand for these products, although gains will slightly trail
the world average.
China, India to be fastest growing markets
China
was by the far the fastest growing world market for commercial
refrigeration products between 2001 and 2011, posting double-digit
annual growth rates and more than quadrupling in size over those ten
years. As economic growth in the country slows, demand gains for
commercial refrigeration products will decelerate, but will remain the
fastest in the world. India, despite its massive size, remains a
relatively small market for commercial refrigeration equipment, with per
capita demand ranking among the smallest in the world. However, heavy
investment in infrastructure and rising incomes will create strong
potential for growth, and demand gains for these products in India will
be the second fastest in the world. Other developing nations with strong
growth prospects include Indonesia and Thailand.
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US to remain largest market
Although
demand gains for commercial refrigeration equipment are expected to be
slower in developed countries, the outlook is still strong relative to
the 2006- 2011 period. The US is the world’s largest market for these
products, and will account for nearly a quarter of global sales growth
through 2016. Gains will result from an improved macroeconomic outlook,
as rising consumer spending encourages food industry participants to
expand the number of retail outlets and restaurants. In addition, food
industry participants will be more willing to make equipment upgrades
that had been deferred due to a weak economy. Japan was the third
largest market for commercial refrigeration equipment in 2011, but has
declined in size since 2006, reflecting both poor economic conditions
and the maturity of the market. Demand for commercial refrigeration
products in Japan is forecast to return to positive growth through 2016,
but gains will be significantly slower than the world average.
Coolers, freezers, display cases to be among fastest growing products
Sales
of reach-in and walk-in coolers and freezers will benefit from gains
among food retailers in restaurants, particularly in developing
countries. Growth in demand for refrigerated display cases will be rapid
as well, supported by rising standards of living and increasing
proliferation of large food retailers. The growing number of
restaurants, particularly in the fast food segment, will also spur
stronger gains in demand for beverage refrigeration equipment and ice
machines. Vending machine gains will be somewhat slower, reflecting the
concentration of vending machine usage in developed countries.
Company Profiles
Company Profiles for industry players globally such as Hoshizaki, Ingersoll-Rand, Manitowoc, and United Technologies
Additional Information
This
study analyzes global supply of and demand for commercial refrigeration
equipment. Products covered include reach-in and walk-in refrigerators
and freezers, display cases, beverage refrigeration equipment, ice
machines, refrigerated vending machines, miscellaneous equipment (e.g.,
cryogenic equipment and liquid chillers for refrigeration purposes,
etc.), and parts. Excluded from the study are air conditioning systems
and all refrigeration equipment designed for residential use, as well as
refrigeration equipment used in transportation systems.
Historical
data (2001, 2006, and 2011) and forecasts for the years 2016 and 2021
are provided for shipments, sales, and net exports of commercial
refrigeration equipment valued in millions of current US dollars,
including inflation. The term “sales” actually refers to “apparent
consumption,” and is defined as shipments (also referred to variously as
“production,” “output,” or “supply”) from a country’s indigenous
manufacturing facilities plus imports minus exports. It is used
interchangeably with the terms “market,” “demand,” and “consumption.”
Data
on world commercial refrigeration equipment supply and demand are
derived from differing sources and developed from statistical
relationships. As a result, variations are commonplace in this type of
international reporting, and, consequently, data presented in this study
are historically consistent but may differ from other sources. To
reduce the impact of such discrepancies, total world imports and exports
have been assumed to balance in any given year.
In addition,
major commercial refrigeration equipment manufacturers are identified
and profiled, and the key competitive variables are discussed. The
entire report is framed within the world industry’s economic,
technological, and market environments, and therefore environmental
variables affecting supply/demand patterns (gross fixed private
investment, per capita incomes, etc.) are emphasized. World commercial
refrigeration equipment market share data by company presented in the
“Industry Structure” section are estimates based on consultation with
multiple sources. In addition, tabular details may not always add to
totals due to rounding.
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